Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 39.99%. A win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.83%). The likeliest Sporting Kansas City win was 1-2 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.