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Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2022 at 1am UK
National Sports Center
Sporting Kansas

Minnesota Utd
1 - 1
Kansas

Pulskamp (43' og.)
Trapp (16'), Taylor (53'), Reynoso (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Russell (63')
Fontas (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Sporting Kansas City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Kansas
Sunday, July 10 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Sporting Kansas City

Both sides will be looking to build on their victories last weekend, with Minnesota seeking to secure their fourth successive MLS victory and climb into the top three of the Western Conference. Considering the form the hosts will take into Thursday's game and their superior home record against Kansas City, we feel that the Loons will come away with all three points at Allianz Field. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 61.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 17.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawSporting Kansas City
61.62% (0.178 0.18) 21.08% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05) 17.29% (-0.128 -0.13)
Both teams to score 53.04% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.47% (0.010999999999996 0.01)43.52% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.08% (0.012 0.01)65.91% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.39% (0.057000000000002 0.06)13.6% (-0.058 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.26% (0.114 0.11)40.73% (-0.116 -0.12)
Sporting Kansas City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.39% (-0.145 -0.15)38.61% (0.143 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.64% (-0.139 -0.14)75.35% (0.136 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 61.62%
    Sporting Kansas City 17.29%
    Draw 21.08%
Minnesota UnitedDrawSporting Kansas City
1-0 @ 10.47% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.45% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.04 0.04)
3-1 @ 6.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.47% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.15% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.57% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 61.62%
1-1 @ 9.97% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.25% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
2-2 @ 4.73% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.08%
0-1 @ 5% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.74% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.38% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 17.29%

How you voted: Minnesota Utd vs Kansas

Minnesota United
73.7%
Draw
26.3%
Sporting Kansas City
0.0%
19
Head to Head
Oct 31, 2021 5pm
Minnesota Utd
2-1
Kansas
Fragapane (20'), Reynoso (39' pen.)
Alonso (73'), Fragapane (84')
Shelton (8')
Duke (48'), Kinda (79'), Dia (86')
Sep 16, 2021 1.30am
Kansas
4-0
Minnesota Utd
Shelton (14'), Salloi (36'), Russell (45' pen.), Duke (52')

Fragapane (50')
Aug 21, 2021 8.30pm
Minnesota Utd
0-0
Kansas

Dibassy (6'), Metanire (59')

Russell (25'), Zusi (69'), Salloi (86'), Espinoza (90+1')
Walter (21')
Dec 4, 2020 1.30am
Kansas
0-3
Minnesota Utd
Molino (27', 35'), Dibassy (39')
Reynoso (42'), Gregus (57'), Gasper (80'), Dibassy (82'), Hairston (84')
rhs 2.0
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