Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montreal Impact win with a probability of 44.68%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 30.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montreal Impact win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.