Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 69.35%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 12.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.