Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 41.91%. A win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Columbus Crew win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York City FC in this match.