Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Nashville SC had a probability of 19.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Nashville SC win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.