Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Orlando City had a probability of 36.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.35%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Orlando City win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.