Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 57.44%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Columbus Crew had a probability of 19.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.13%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.79%), while for a Columbus Crew win it was 0-1 (5.9%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.