Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Orlando City win with a probability of 58.87%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Orlando City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Orlando City would win this match.