Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Toronto had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Toronto win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Philadelphia Union would win this match.
Result | ||
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
59.09% | 22.68% | 18.23% |
Both teams to score 49.72% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.14% | 48.86% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.04% | 70.96% |
Philadelphia Union Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.81% | 16.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.33% | 45.67% |
Toronto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.33% | 40.67% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.74% | 77.26% |
Score Analysis |
Philadelphia Union | Draw | Toronto |
1-0 @ 11.98% 2-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 9.82% 3-0 @ 6.63% 3-1 @ 5.96% 4-0 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.71% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-2 @ 1.22% 5-0 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.06% Total : 59.08% | 1-1 @ 10.78% 0-0 @ 6.58% 2-2 @ 4.42% Other @ 0.89% Total : 22.67% | 0-1 @ 5.92% 1-2 @ 4.85% 0-2 @ 2.67% 1-3 @ 1.46% 2-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 2.01% Total : 18.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |