Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 55.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.