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New York Red Bulls
Major League Soccer
Sep 10, 2022 at 11pm UK
Red Bull Arena
New England Revolution

NY Red Bulls
2 - 1
New England

Casseres Jr (58'), Morgan (77' pen.)
Clark (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)
McNamara (53')
Bou (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York Red Bulls and New England Revolution, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: New York Red Bulls 0-2 New England Revolution

In a short period, Petrovic has made fans of the New England Revolution forget about all-star goalkeeper Matt Turner, who stole numerous matches for them in 2021. The Serbian is in a groove, and given his form, combined with the fact that the Red Bulls rarely take chances going forward, we expect him to stand tall and give his side another valuable three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 49.69%. A win for New England Revolution had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest New England Revolution win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.

Result
New York Red BullsDrawNew England Revolution
49.69% (0.193 0.19) 24.55% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 25.76% (-0.214 -0.21)
Both teams to score 53.97% (-0.273 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76% (-0.264 -0.26)48.24% (0.268 0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61% (-0.24 -0.24)70.39% (0.245 0.25)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.56% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)19.45% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.041000000000004 -0.04)51.29% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67% (-0.31400000000001 -0.31)33% (0.318 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.41% (-0.35 -0.35)69.59% (0.35499999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    New York Red Bulls 49.69%
    New England Revolution 25.76%
    Draw 24.55%
New York Red BullsDrawNew England Revolution
1-0 @ 10.51% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 9.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.61% (0.08 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.7% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.89% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.13% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.92% (0.015 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.69%
1-1 @ 11.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.42% (0.071 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.29% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.55%
0-1 @ 7.11% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.94% (-0.025 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.39% (-0.038 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.95% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 25.76%

How you voted: NY Red Bulls vs New England

New York Red Bulls
50.0%
Draw
33.3%
New England Revolution
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 12.30am
New England
0-1
NY Red Bulls

Kessler (25'), Buksa (90+3')
Buksa (90+4')
Polster (90' og.)
Amaya (33'), Barlow (35'), Yearwood (45')
Amaya (73')
Jul 31, 2021 11pm
NY Red Bulls
2-3
New England
Jose Carmona Torres (8'), Gomes (63')
Casseres Jr (34'), Clark (70')
Bou (60'), Bye (84'), Buksa (90+1')
McNamara (39'), Ingvi Traustason (45+1')
Jun 24, 2021 12am
New England
3-2
NY Red Bulls
Buchanan (26'), Jones (32'), Bou (51')
Polster (35')
Klimala (53'), Reyes (75')
Duncan (29')
May 23, 2021 1am
New England
3-1
NY Red Bulls
Bou (36'), Buchanan (45+2'), Buksa (82')
Reyes (7')
Reyes (31')
Reyes (38')
Oct 28, 2020 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-0
New England
Long (89')

Caldwell (43'), Buksa (48'), Fagundez (57'), Buchanan (75'), Nguyen (85')
rhs 2.0
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