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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Aug 18, 2022 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Atlanta
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Martinez (90+5')
Gutman (80')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Morgan (11'), Tolkin (15')
Duncan (45+4'), Klimala (66'), Coronel (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta
Sunday, August 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 New York Red Bulls

Atlanta's form has improved slightly of late, and we can envisage them closing the gap on the playoff spots with a narrow victory. On paper, they have more talented attackers than their opponents, which could prove crucial alongside having home advantage. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
44.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 25.72% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 29.45% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 53% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.2% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)50.8% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.31% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.69% (0.012 0.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.78% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)56.22% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.00099999999999056 0)31.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (0.0019999999999953 0)67.9% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 44.82%
    New York Red Bulls 29.45%
    Draw 25.72%
Atlanta UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-1 @ 9.09% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.6% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 44.82%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 7.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.25%
3-3 @ 1%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.72%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 7.06% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.02%
0-3 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 29.45%

How you voted: Atlanta vs NY Red Bulls

Atlanta United
61.2%
Draw
18.4%
New York Red Bulls
20.4%
49
Head to Head
Jul 1, 2022 1am
NY Red Bulls
2-1
Atlanta
Morgan (83' pen.), Ngoma (89')
Casseres Jr (28'), Long (42'), Edwards (51')
Martinez (75')
Sejdic (22'), Ibarra (45+3'), Rios Novo (82')
Nov 3, 2021 11.30pm
NY Red Bulls
0-0
Atlanta

Klimala (52'), Nealis (90+1')

Araujo (11'), Walkes (90+1')
Jun 27, 2021 8.30pm
Atlanta
0-0
NY Red Bulls

Sosa (65'), Franco (90+5')

Edwards (22'), Davis (69'), Tolkin (85'), Tarek (86')
Oct 10, 2020 11pm
Aug 30, 2020 11.30pm
rhs 2.0
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