Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 57.75%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.61%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.96%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.