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MLS header WWW

Major League Soccer
New England Revolution
Major League Soccer
Sep 5, 2022 at 1am UK
Gillette Stadium
New York City

New England
3 - 0
NY City

Bell (12'), Buck (33'), McNamara (65')
Buck (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Major League Soccer clash between New England Revolution and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New England Revolution

Last Six:
Last Game: New England 0-0 Chicago Fire
Thursday, September 1 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

New York City FC

Last Six:
Last Game: NY City 1-2 DC United
Thursday, September 1 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: New England Revolution 1-0 New York City FC

 Petrovic has settled into quite the groove with the Serbian keeper stealing several games for his side this year, and we expect him to come up big against a team who have struggled in the final third since the departure of Valentin Castellanos. As comfortable as their position is in the Eastern Conference right now, the Pigeons have looked far too comfortable on the field lately, and that complacency has led many to question what this team have left coming into the stretch run of the campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New England Revolution win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a New England Revolution win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (6.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that New England Revolution would win this match.

Result
New England RevolutionDrawNew York City FC
48.69% (0.266 0.27) 24.19% (0.00099999999999767 0) 27.11% (-0.268 -0.27)
Both teams to score 56.32% (-0.224 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.32% (-0.195 -0.2)45.68% (0.195 0.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.99% (-0.185 -0.19)68% (0.185 0.19)
New England Revolution Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (0.034000000000006 0.03)18.84% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7% (0.053000000000004 0.05)50.29% (-0.052000000000007 -0.05)
New York City FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)30.59% (0.303 0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (-0.362 -0.36)66.83% (0.36200000000001 0.36)
Score Analysis
    New England Revolution 48.69%
    New York City FC 27.11%
    Draw 24.19%
New England RevolutionDrawNew York City FC
1-0 @ 9.62% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.03% (0.083 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.47% (0.05 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 48.69%
1-1 @ 11.39% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.76% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.63% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.19%
0-1 @ 6.83% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 6.75% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.67% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.22% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3%
Total : 27.11%

How you voted: New England vs NY City

New England Revolution
54.2%
Draw
29.2%
New York City FC
16.7%
24
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 6pm
NY City
4-2
New England
Magno (10' pen.), Castellanos (44' pen., 82'), Pereira (49')
Castellanos (36'), Haak (70')
Bou (18', 77')
Gil (84')
Farrell (41')
Dec 1, 2021 12.30am
New England
2-2
NY City
 NY City win 5-3 on penalties
Buksa (9'), Buchanan (118')
Polster (27'), Buksa (54')
Rodriguez (3'), Castellanos (109')
Castellanos (18'), Rodriguez (58'), Morales (84')
Castellanos (113')
Sep 12, 2021 12am
New England
2-1
NY City
Boateng (21'), Buchanan (65')
Kessler (63'), Buksa (64'), Polster (90'), Gil (90+3')
Rodriguez (11')
Morales (45+2'), Castellanos (52'), Andrade (74')
Morales (53')
Aug 29, 2021 12.30am
NY City
2-0
New England
Castellanos (31', 55')
Rodriguez (37'), Sands (40'), Chanot (45+2'), Thorarinsson (87'), Jasson (90+3')

Farrell (45+4'), Polster (86')
Jun 20, 2021 12.30am
NY City
2-3
New England
T. (55'), Tajouri (85')
Castellanos (39'), Andrade (56'), Sands (77')
Bou (27'), Bell (78'), McNamara (88')
Polster (19'), Maciel (53')
rhs 2.0
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