Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Kansas City would win this match.
