Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.08%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 24.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (6.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.