Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 24.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.69%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
53.15% | 22.56% | 24.29% |
Both teams to score 59.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% | 40.76% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% | 63.14% |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% | 15.37% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.84% | 44.16% |
Real Salt Lake Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.82% | 30.18% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.66% | 66.34% |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Real Salt Lake |
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 8.14% 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 5.08% 3-2 @ 3.64% 4-1 @ 2.85% 4-0 @ 2.38% 4-2 @ 1.71% 5-1 @ 1.07% Other @ 3.77% Total : 53.15% | 1-1 @ 10.4% 2-2 @ 5.84% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.55% | 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-1 @ 5.56% 0-2 @ 3.33% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.33% 0-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 3.02% Total : 24.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |