Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 50.47%. A win for Dallas had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Dallas win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.