Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.4%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.79%) and 2-0 (7.73%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.