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Toronto FC
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 36
Sep 30, 2021 at 12am UK
BMO Field
FC Cincinnati

Toronto
3 - 2
Cincinnati

Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Matarrita (38'), Acosta (72')
Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toronto win with a probability of 59.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FC Cincinnati had a probability of 18.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toronto win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 2-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a FC Cincinnati win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toronto would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
59.92%21.42%18.66%
Both teams to score 54.59%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.22%42.78%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.82%65.18%
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.12%13.88%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.71%41.28%
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.38%36.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.59%73.4%
Score Analysis
    Toronto 59.92%
    FC Cincinnati 18.66%
    Draw 21.41%
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
1-0 @ 10.03%
2-1 @ 9.96%
2-0 @ 9.91%
3-1 @ 6.55%
3-0 @ 6.52%
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 3.24%
4-0 @ 3.22%
4-2 @ 1.63%
5-1 @ 1.28%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 59.92%
1-1 @ 10.08%
0-0 @ 5.08%
2-2 @ 5%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.41%
0-1 @ 5.11%
1-2 @ 5.06%
0-2 @ 2.56%
1-3 @ 1.7%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 18.66%

How you voted: Toronto vs Cincinnati

Toronto
37.5%
Draw
50.0%
FC Cincinnati
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 30
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')
Morrow (37')
Jun 27, 2021 12am
Gameweek 13
Toronto
0-2
Cincinnati
Cruz (4'), Acosta (68')
Oct 12, 2020 12.30am
May 16, 2020 10.30pm
Mar 21, 2020 7pm
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