The Whitecaps have been a resilient group throughout the campaign, and we believe they will be able to transition efficiently versus Austin, who are missing their solid defensive midfielder Pereira, which could spell trouble for the Verde and Black.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vancouver Whitecaps win with a probability of 60.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 17.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vancouver Whitecaps win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.04%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Vancouver Whitecaps in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Vancouver Whitecaps.