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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Chorley

Buxton
3 - 1
Chorley

De Girolamo (36' pen.), Shiels (56'), Hunt (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Buxton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Blyth Spartans
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawChorley
33.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.012 0.01)48.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.016000000000005 0.02)63.41% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.07%
Score Analysis
    Buxton 33.09%
    Chorley 41.43%
    Draw 25.47%
BuxtonDrawChorley
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chorley
3-2
Buxton
Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe158522781929
2Chorley1585226151129
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn158341915427
4Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton138231910926
5SouthportSouthport167452427-325
6Hereford UnitedHereford156632115624
7Leamington FCLeamington146532012823
8Alfreton TownAlfreton136521811723
9Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster146442012822
10Buxton157172417722
11Chester FCChester146441715222
12Spennymoor TownSpennymoor155552217520
13Brackley Town136251512320
14Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath135441816219
15South Shields156181722-519
16Darlington144641414018
17Warrington Town154561722-517
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic155281625-917
19Oxford CityOxford City143562028-814
20Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports144281119-814
21RadcliffeRadcliffe152581628-1211
22Needham Market1532101129-1811
23Marine AFC13247415-1110
24Rushall Olympic1431101426-1210


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