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National League North | Gameweek 44
Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Silverlands
Chorley

Buxton
3 - 1
Chorley

De Girolamo (36' pen.), Shiels (56'), Hunt (73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wilson (73')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Buxton and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hereford 2-2 Buxton
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Chorley 2-0 Blyth Spartans
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 41.43%. A win for Buxton had a probability of 33.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Buxton win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
BuxtonDrawChorley
33.09% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 25.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 41.43% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 55.45% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.64% (0.012 0.01)48.36% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.5% (0.010999999999999 0.01)70.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Buxton Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.18% (0.013999999999996 0.01)27.82% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.016000000000005 0.02)63.41% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.18% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.0019999999999953 0)57.07%
Score Analysis
    Buxton 33.09%
    Chorley 41.43%
    Draw 25.47%
BuxtonDrawChorley
1-0 @ 8.25% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-1 @ 7.72% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 33.09%
1-1 @ 12.06%
0-0 @ 6.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.47%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-2 @ 8.82%
0-2 @ 6.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.3%
0-3 @ 3.36% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.57%
0-4 @ 1.23%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.43%

Head to Head
Dec 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Chorley
3-2
Buxton
Calveley (28'), Ubaezuonu (63'), Ellis (81')
Sampson (45')
De Girolamo (18'), Wright (74')
Bapaga (45')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Chorley
2-2
Buxton
Hall (70', 80' pen.)
Poole (45+3'), Clarke (72')
Jan 10, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Buxton
2-2
Chorley
Jackson (49'), Simms (90+7')
Smith (30'), Hall (61' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe1895433141932
2Chorley189542921832
3Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster1794426121431
4Buxton1910183122931
5Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton1693421111030
6King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn189362119230
7Alfreton TownAlfreton168532215729
8Chester FCChester178452017328
9Hereford UnitedHereford177642517827
10Brackley Town168351913627
11Spennymoor TownSpennymoor186752620625
12South Shields188192428-425
13SouthportSouthport187472530-525
14Leamington FCLeamington176562218423
15Darlington175751818022
16Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports186481924-522
17Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath155551919020
18Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic1862101931-1220
19Warrington Town184771824-619
20Oxford CityOxford City184682533-818
21RadcliffeRadcliffe174582130-917
22Marine AFC17449921-1216
23Rushall Olympic1733111731-1412
24Needham Market1833121233-2112


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