National League North | Gameweek 40
Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley2 - 0Alfreton
Calveley (2', 20')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Needham Market 2-1 Chorley
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
60
Last Game: Alfreton 1-1 Darlington
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 18 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
46
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 54%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chorley | Draw | Alfreton Town |
54% ( -0.05) | 24.06% ( 0.02) | 21.94% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.24% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.23% ( -0.06) | 49.77% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.22% ( -0.06) | 71.77% ( 0.06) |
| Chorley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.65% ( -0.04) | 18.34% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.54% ( -0.07) | 49.45% ( 0.07) |
| Alfreton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.75% ( -0.01) | 37.25% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.96% ( -0.01) | 74.03% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
Chorley 53.99%
Alfreton Town 21.94%
Draw 24.06%
| Chorley | Draw | Alfreton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.58% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0)2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.83% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.99% Total : 24.06% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.58% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 1.68% Total : 21.94% |
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2024 7.45pm
Jan 6, 2024 3pm
Jan 14, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 28
Chorley
0-0
Alfreton
Aug 29, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
