Chorley

2 - 1

Darlington

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Darlington had a probability of 19.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Darlington win it was 0-1 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.