National League North | Gameweek 16
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
Chorley4 - 3Farsley Celtic
Coverage of the National League North clash between Chorley and Farsley Celtic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Kidderminster 1-0 Chorley
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 2-0 Kettering
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 75.92%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 8.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.03%) and 3-0 (10.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.42%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 0-1 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.
Result | ||
Chorley | Draw | Farsley Celtic |
75.92% ( -0.09) | 15.6% ( 0.04) | 8.47% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 44.57% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.55% ( 0.01) | 40.44% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.18% ( 0.01) | 62.82% ( -0.02) |
Chorley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.03% ( -0.02) | 8.96% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.42% ( -0.04) | 30.57% ( 0.04) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.96% ( 0.13) | 51.04% ( -0.13) |