Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Darlington win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.