National League North | Gameweek 38
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Throstle Nest
Farsley Celtic2 - 3Alfreton
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Alfreton Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Brackley Town 0-0 Farsley Celtic
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
32
Last Game: Spennymoor 2-1 Alfreton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
58
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alfreton Town win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 26.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alfreton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (8.71%). The likeliest Farsley Celtic win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alfreton Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Farsley Celtic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
26.75% ( 0.3) | 25.89% ( 0.06) | 47.36% ( -0.35) |
Both teams to score 50.67% ( 0.07) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.03% ( -0.02) | 52.97% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.43% ( -0.02) | 74.56% ( 0.02) |
Farsley Celtic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.27% ( 0.23) | 34.73% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.54% ( 0.25) | 71.46% ( -0.24) |
Alfreton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.64% ( -0.17) | 22.36% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.14% ( -0.25) | 55.85% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Farsley Celtic 26.75%
Alfreton Town 47.36%
Draw 25.89%
Farsley Celtic | Draw | Alfreton Town |
1-0 @ 8.21% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.51% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 2.29% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.14% Total : 26.75% | 1-1 @ 12.3% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.95% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.21% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.71% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 4.6% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.35% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.72% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 47.36% |
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 3pm
Jan 7, 2023 3pm
Aug 13, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Farsley Celtic
0-0
Alfreton
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 31
Alfreton
0-0
Farsley Celtic
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-11 08:40:42
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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