National League North | Gameweek 38
Apr 1, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
The Silverlands

Farsley Celtic
1 - 3
Oxford City

Silva (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
McEachran (26'), Croker (48'), Ashby (75')
Coverage of the National League North clash between Farsley Celtic and Oxford City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Farsley Celtic 3-0 Radcliffe
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League North
Last Game: Oxford City 1-0 Radcliffe
Saturday, March 29 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 72.82%. A draw had a probability of 16.9% and a win for Farsley Celtic had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.76%) and 0-3 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Farsley Celtic win it was 1-0 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford City would win this match.

Result
Farsley CelticDrawOxford City
10.27% (-1.302 -1.3)16.91% (-1.213 -1.21)72.82% (2.514 2.51)
Both teams to score 47.46% (-0.439 -0.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.29% (1.895 1.9)40.71% (-1.895 -1.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.9% (1.913 1.91)63.09% (-1.914 -1.91)
Farsley Celtic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.6% (-1.161 -1.16)47.4% (1.161 1.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.21% (-0.881 -0.88)82.79% (0.88 0.88)
Oxford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.23% (1.135 1.14)9.77% (-1.137 -1.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.51% (2.58 2.58)32.48% (-2.582 -2.58)
Score Analysis
    Farsley Celtic 10.27%
    Oxford City 72.81%
    Draw 16.91%
Farsley CelticDrawOxford City
1-0 @ 3.46% (-0.433 -0.43)
2-1 @ 3% (-0.323 -0.32)
2-0 @ 1.29% (-0.21 -0.21)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 10.27%
1-1 @ 8.04% (-0.579 -0.58)
0-0 @ 4.63% (-0.413 -0.41)
2-2 @ 3.49% (-0.193 -0.19)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 16.91%
0-2 @ 12.52% (0.14 0.14)
0-1 @ 10.76% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-3 @ 9.71% (0.568 0.57)
1-2 @ 9.35% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-3 @ 7.25% (0.197 0.2)
0-4 @ 5.65% (0.583 0.58)
1-4 @ 4.22% (0.309 0.31)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-5 @ 2.63% (0.383 0.38)
1-5 @ 1.96% (0.23 0.23)
2-4 @ 1.57% (0.067 0.07)
0-6 @ 1.02% (0.19 0.19)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 72.81%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 20
Oxford City
4-1
Farsley Celtic
Andrews (7'), Ashby (33'), Scott (56'), McEachran (71')
Andrews (44'), Fleet (48')
Pickles (90+4')
Watson (30'), Misambo (45+4'), Fielding (77')