Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Bradford Park Avenue.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Gateshead 2-1 Hereford
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
10 | Spennymoor Town | 41 | 2 | 57 |
11 | Hereford United | 41 | 0 | 55 |
12 | Southport | 41 | 0 | 54 |
Last Game: Bradford Park Av 0-5 Southport
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, May 7 at 3pm in National League North
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
17 | Gloucester City | 41 | -13 | 45 |
18 | Bradford Park Avenue | 41 | -19 | 44 |
19 | Blyth Spartans | 41 | -35 | 42 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Bradford Park Avenue had a probability of 17.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Bradford Park Avenue win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Bradford Park Avenue |
60.38% | 22.25% | 17.37% |
Both teams to score 49.44% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |