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National League North | Gameweek 17
Feb 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground

Hereford
2 - 0
Southport

Barnett (79' pen.), Jarvis (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Southport.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hereford United

All competitions
Last Game: Farsley Celtic 1-0 Hereford
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Southport

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Southport
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 47.77%. A win for Southport had a probability of 26.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Southport win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.

Result
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
47.77% (1.575 1.58) 25.84% (-0.542 -0.54) 26.39% (-1.038 -1.04)
Both teams to score 50.53% (0.812 0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.98% (1.439 1.44)53.02% (-1.441 -1.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.39% (1.21 1.21)74.61% (-1.215 -1.22)
Hereford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.8% (1.337 1.34)22.2% (-1.34 -1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.39% (1.973 1.97)55.61% (-1.977 -1.98)
Southport Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.94% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)35.05% (0.071000000000005 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.2% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)71.8% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Hereford United 47.77%
    Southport 26.39%
    Draw 25.83%
Hereford UnitedDrawSouthport
1-0 @ 11.71% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.191 0.19)
2-0 @ 8.81% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 4.64% (0.273 0.27)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.268 0.27)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.138 0.14)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.167 0.17)
4-0 @ 1.66% (0.162 0.16)
4-2 @ 0.91% (0.085 0.09)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 47.77%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.24 -0.24)
0-0 @ 7.78% (-0.453 -0.45)
2-2 @ 4.84% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.16% (-0.491 -0.49)
1-2 @ 6.44% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.266 -0.27)
1-3 @ 2.25% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.029 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 26.39%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Hereford
0-1
Southport
Oliver (51' pen.)
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Southport
2-0
Hereford
Archer (52'), Woods (85')
Feb 20, 2021 3pm
Hereford
P-P
Southport
Oct 6, 2020 7.45pm
Southport
0-0
Hereford
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster24144639192046
2Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton23143632181445
3King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn2613673226645
4Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe25128540172344
5Chester FCChester25127637271043
6Brackley Town24134732221043
7Darlington2410953124739
8Chorley2311663226639
9Buxton24122103931838
10Hereford UnitedHereford2410773224837
11Alfreton TownAlfreton2410773228437
12South Shields25113114037336
13Spennymoor TownSpennymoor2471163329432
14Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports258892831-332
15SouthportSouthport248792733-631
16Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath257993133-230
17Leamington FCLeamington2485113130129
18Oxford CityOxford City2477103641-528
19Warrington Town2659122235-1324
20Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic2573152646-2024
21RadcliffeRadcliffe2256112741-1421
22Marine AFC2456131631-1521
23Rushall Olympic2663172650-2421
24Needham Market2446141739-2218
> National League North Full Table


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