National League North | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford2 - 1Warrington Town
Coverage of the National League North clash between Hereford United and Warrington Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hereford 1-5 Scunthorpe
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
24
Last Game: Scunthorpe 1-0 Warrington Town
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
25
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hereford United win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Warrington Town had a probability of 29.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hereford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Warrington Town win was 0-1 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hereford United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hereford United | Draw | Warrington Town |
44.89% ( -0.24) | 25.97% ( 0.08) | 29.15% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 52.08% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.08% ( -0.24) | 51.93% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.33% ( -0.21) | 73.67% ( 0.22) |
Hereford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.94% ( -0.22) | 23.06% ( 0.22) |