National League North | Gameweek 40

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Marine Travel Arena

Marine AFC
2 - 1
P'boro Sports

Butler (20'), Wardle (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gash (13')

Coverage of the National League North clash between Marine AFC and Peterborough Sports.

Form, Standings, Stats

Marine AFC

All competitions

Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Marine AFC
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Peterborough Sports

All competitions

Last Game: P'boro Sports 4-1 Darlington
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in National League North

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marine AFC win with a probability of 37.29%. A win for Peterborough Sports had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marine AFC win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Peterborough Sports win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marine AFC would win this match.

Result
Marine AFC	Draw	Peterborough Sports
37.29% ( 0.67)	27.21% ( -0.19)	35.5% ( -0.48)

Both teams to score 50.21% (

0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.76% (

0.73)

55.24% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.53% (

0.59)

76.47% (

-0.59)

Marine AFC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

0.76)

28.6% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.61% (

0.94)

64.39% (

-0.94)

Peterborough Sports Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.32% (

0.06)

29.68% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.27% (

0.07)

65.73% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Marine AFC 37.28%

Peterborough Sports 35.49%

Draw 27.21%

Marine AFC	Draw	Peterborough Sports
1-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.28%	1-1 @ 12.9% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.21%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 7.84% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.43% Total : 35.49%