Spennymoor

0 - 2

Chorley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chorley win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Spennymoor Town had a probability of 33.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chorley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.55%). The likeliest Spennymoor Town win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chorley would win this match.