National League North | Gameweek 15
Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamb Ground
Tamworth2 - 0Scarborough Ath
Finn (20'), Tshikuna (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Tamworth and Scarborough Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Gloucester City
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Curzon Ashton 0-1 Scarborough Ath
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
15
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tamworth win with a probability of 60.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Scarborough Athletic had a probability of 17.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tamworth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Scarborough Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tamworth would win this match.
Result | ||
Tamworth | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
60.7% ( -0.16) | 22.1% | 17.21% ( 0.16) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.96% ( 0.26) | 48.04% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.79% ( 0.24) | 70.21% ( -0.24) |
Tamworth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.63% ( 0.04) | 15.37% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.85% ( 0.07) | 44.16% ( -0.06) |
Scarborough Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.59% ( 0.36) | 41.41% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.08% ( 0.31) | 77.92% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
Tamworth 60.7%
Scarborough Athletic 17.21%
Draw 22.09%
Tamworth | Draw | Scarborough Athletic |
1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 3.26% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.88% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 60.7% | 1-1 @ 10.5% 0-0 @ 6.37% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.88% Total : 22.09% | 0-1 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.85% Total : 17.21% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-21 23:18:26
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Tamworth | 46 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 74 | 29 | 45 | 96 |
2 | Scunthorpe UnitedScunthorpe | 46 | 26 | 10 | 10 | 84 | 38 | 46 | 88 |
3 | Brackley Town | 46 | 25 | 10 | 11 | 65 | 37 | 28 | 85 |
4 | Chorley | 46 | 25 | 8 | 13 | 81 | 50 | 31 | 83 |
5 | Alfreton TownAlfreton | 46 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 76 | 50 | 26 | 80 |
6 | Boston UnitedBoston | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 75 |
7 | Curzon AshtonCurzon Ashton | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 75 |
8 | South Shields | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 79 | 53 | 26 | 74 |
9 | Spennymoor TownSpennymoor | 46 | 22 | 8 | 16 | 74 | 62 | 12 | 74 |
10 | Chester FCChester | 46 | 18 | 15 | 13 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 69 |
11 | Hereford UnitedHereford | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 62 | 66 | -4 | 69 |
12 | Warrington Town | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 64 |
13 | Scarborough AthleticScarborough Ath | 46 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 64 |
14 | Buxton | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 70 | 63 | 7 | 62 |
15 | Peterborough SportsP'boro Sports | 46 | 16 | 10 | 20 | 55 | 65 | -10 | 58 |
16 | Darlington | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 72 | -20 | 56 |
17 | SouthportSouthport | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 54 | 75 | -21 | 56 |
18 | King's Lynn TownKing's Lynn | 46 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 54 | 66 | -12 | 55 |
19 | Rushall Olympic | 46 | 15 | 9 | 22 | 61 | 73 | -12 | 54 |
20 | Farsley CelticFarsley Celtic | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 53 |
21 | Blyth Spartans | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 66 | 82 | -16 | 50 |
22 | Banbury UnitedBanbury | 46 | 10 | 8 | 28 | 38 | 86 | -48 | 38 |
23 | Gloucester CityGloucester City | 46 | 9 | 9 | 28 | 49 | 89 | -40 | 36 |
24 | Bishop's StortfordBishop's Stortford | 46 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 35 | 112 | -77 | 21 |
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