National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 0Farnborough Town
Mills (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Farnborough Town.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 St Albans City
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.30pm in National League South
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: St Albans City 2-0 Farnborough Town
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Farnborough Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Farnborough Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Farnborough Town |
31.66% ( -0.01) | 26.79% ( 0.11) | 41.55% ( -0.1) |
Both teams to score 50.71% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.76% ( -0.44) | 54.24% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.36% ( -0.37) | 75.64% ( 0.37) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% ( -0.23) | 31.7% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% ( -0.26) | 68.12% ( 0.27) |
Farnborough Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.25% ( -0.25) | 25.75% ( 0.25) |