National League South | Gameweek 21
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City1 - 2Truro City
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Truro City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Maidstone
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Monday, November 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
25
Last Game: Weymouth 2-0 Truro City
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
21
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 59.24%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Truro City had a probability of 18.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Truro City win it was 0-1 (5.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Chelmsford City | Draw | Truro City |
59.24% ( 0.02) | 21.83% ( -0) | 18.94% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 53.72% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.82% ( 0.01) | 44.18% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.44% ( 0.01) | 66.56% ( -0.01) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( 0.01) | 14.55% ( -0.01) |