National League South | Gameweek 7
Sep 2, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Vauxhall Ground
Hemel Hemps.4 - 2Welling United
Cerulli (8'), German (65', 70'), Kennedy (83')
Wishart (62'), Tompkins (90+5')
Wishart (62'), Tompkins (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chukwu (54'), Kurran-Browne (85')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Hemel Hempstead Town and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hemel Hemps. 4-2 Bath City
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
11
Last Game: Welling United 1-3 Chesham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hemel Hempstead Town win with a probability of 44.62%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Welling United win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hemel Hempstead Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
44.62% ( 4.43) | 25.6% ( -0.22) | 29.78% ( -4.22) |
| Both teams to score 53.59% ( -0.94) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.88% ( -0.48) | 50.12% ( 0.48) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.91% ( -0.42) | 72.08% ( 0.42) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.58% ( 1.97) | 22.41% ( -1.97) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.06% ( 2.86) | 55.93% ( -2.86) |
| Welling United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.08% ( -3.04) | 30.92% ( 3.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 32.79% ( -3.72) | 67.21% ( 3.72) |
| Score Analysis |
Hemel Hempstead Town 44.61%
Welling United 29.78%
Draw 25.59%
| Hemel Hempstead Town | Draw | Welling United |
| 1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.77) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.98)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.68)3-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.26)4-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.32)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.08)Other @ 2.21% Total : 44.61% | 1-1 @ 12.16% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( 0.13)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.18)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.55) 1-2 @ 7.14% ( -0.69)0-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.77)1-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.54)2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.49)Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.78% |
How you voted: Hemel Hemps. vs Welling United
Hemel Hempstead Town
71.4%Draw
0.0%Welling United
28.6%7
Head to Head
Jan 27, 2024 3pm
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Feb 28, 2023 7.45pm
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Feb 26, 2022 3pm
Form Guide
