Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungerford Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 36.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hungerford Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.86%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.