National League South | Gameweek 15
Oct 25, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Longmead Stadium
Tonbridge Angels1 - 0Chelmsford City
Santos (14')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Tonbridge Angels and Chelmsford City.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 2-0 Chippenham
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
21
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-1 Hemel Hempstead
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in National League South
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Chelmsford City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tonbridge Angels in this match.
Result | ||
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
37.45% ( 2.05) | 26.68% ( 0.25) | 35.87% ( -2.3) |
Both teams to score 51.94% ( -0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.93% ( -1.01) | 53.07% ( 1.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.35% ( -0.86) | 74.66% ( 0.87) |
Tonbridge Angels Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.54% ( 0.73) | 27.46% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.05% ( 0.94) | 62.96% ( -0.93) |
Chelmsford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.61% ( -1.82) | 28.39% ( 1.82) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.86% ( -2.35) | 64.14% ( 2.35) |
Score Analysis |
Tonbridge Angels 37.44%
Chelmsford City 35.87%
Draw 26.67%
Tonbridge Angels | Draw | Chelmsford City |
1-0 @ 10.07% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 8.2% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.51) 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( 0.27) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.1) Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.8% ( 0.31) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.11) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.99% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.4) 1-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.33) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.16) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.87% |
Head to Head
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Nov 9, 2020 7.45pm
Chelmsford City
0-2
Tonbridge Angels
Parkinson (10'), Beere (55')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-11-24 14:18:00
6pm
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Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Weston-super-MareWeston | 17 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 31 | 15 | 16 | 37 |
2 | Truro CityTruro City | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 29 | 16 | 13 | 34 |
3 | Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 34 |
4 | Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd | 18 | 8 | 7 | 3 | 22 | 16 | 6 | 31 |
5 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 35 | 29 | 6 | 30 |
6 | Farnborough TownFarnborough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 27 | 4 | 30 |
7 | Worthing | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 29 |
8 | Slough TownSlough | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 23 | 10 | 28 |
9 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 11 | 27 |
10 | Hampton & RichmondHampton | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
11 | Chippenham TownChippenham | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
12 | Chesham UnitedChesham | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 24 |
13 | Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 24 |
14 | Maidstone UnitedMaidstone | 16 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
15 | AFC HornchurchHornchurch | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 23 |
16 | Chelmsford CityChelmsford City | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 22 |
17 | Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps. | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 22 |
18 | Welling UnitedWelling United | 18 | 6 | 1 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 19 |
19 | Salisbury | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 17 |
20 | Bath City | 18 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 26 | -13 | 16 |
21 | St Albans CitySt Albans City | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 25 | -9 | 12 |
22 | Weymouth | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 22 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Aveley | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Enfield Town | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 16 | 38 | -22 | 11 |
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