MX23RW : Friday, December 27 02:17:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
National League South | Gameweek 1
Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK
Treyew Road

Truro City
5 - 2
Welling United

Neal (5'), Palmer (18'), Porter (20', 39'), Harvey (45+2')
FT(HT: 5-1)
Green (28'), Papadopoulos (87' pen.)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Truro City and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlton 3-1 Truro City
Sunday, November 5 at 2pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 0-3 Welling United
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Truro City win with a probability of 59.84%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Truro City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Truro City would win this match.

Result
Truro CityDrawWelling United
59.84% (0.332 0.33) 22.48% (-0.152 -0.15) 17.67% (-0.179 -0.18)
Both teams to score 49.31% (0.133 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.11% (0.353 0.35)48.88% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.32 0.32)70.98% (-0.32000000000001 -0.32)
Truro City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (0.232 0.23)15.94% (-0.233 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.428 0.43)45.21% (-0.427 -0.43)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.66% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)41.34% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.14% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)77.86% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Truro City 59.84%
    Welling United 17.67%
    Draw 22.48%
Truro CityDrawWelling United
1-0 @ 12.1% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 11.11% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.8% (0.063 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.01% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 2.65% (0.024 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.021 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.15% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.026 0.03)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 59.84%
1-1 @ 10.69% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.096 -0.1)
2-2 @ 4.34% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 22.48%
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-2 @ 4.72% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.57% (-0.038 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.39% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 17.67%

rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Torquay UnitedTorquay Utd23128335211444
2Boreham WoodBoreham Wood23127439182143
3Maidstone UnitedMaidstone23119338211742
4Truro CityTruro City23126536211542
5Worthing2312653631542
6Dorking WanderersDorking24117650331740
7Weston-super-MareWeston23117535251040
8Eastbourne BoroughEastbourne2311753026440
9Farnborough TownFarnborough2311483534137
10Tonbridge AngelsTonbridge Angels229852925435
11Slough TownSlough2397741301134
12Hampton & RichmondHampton238873124732
13AFC HornchurchHornchurch238872524132
14Chelmsford CityChelmsford City227873632429
15Chesham UnitedChesham228593136-529
16Chippenham TownChippenham2384112831-328
17Salisbury2367103134-325
18Bath City2374122129-825
19Hemel Hempstead TownHemel Hemps.2374122946-1725
20Welling UnitedWelling United2373132441-1724
21Aveley2344152643-1716
22Enfield Town2343162249-2715
23St Albans CitySt Albans City2228122238-1614
24Weymouth2228121432-1814


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