Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 49.7%. A win for Aveley had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.08%) and 2-0 (6.07%). The likeliest Aveley win was 1-2 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Worthing in this match.