National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
The A2B Stadium
Worthing3 - 2Welling United
Coverage of the National League South clash between Worthing and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hampton 0-0 Worthing
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
40
Last Game: Welling United 2-1 Tonbridge Angels
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
31
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.07%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
Result | ||
Worthing | Draw | Welling United |
53.07% ( 0.03) | 22.44% ( 0) | 24.49% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 59.75% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.02% ( -0.05) | 39.98% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.65% ( -0.05) | 62.35% ( 0.05) |
Worthing Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.87% ( -0.01) | 15.13% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.3% ( -0.02) | 43.7% ( 0.02) |
Welling United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.4% ( -0.05) | 29.6% ( 0.05) |