Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 53.95%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Altrincham had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.77%) and 0-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for an Altrincham win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.