Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 41.4%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.65%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 2-1 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.