Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 59.45%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.95%), while for a Gateshead win it was 1-2 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
59.45% ( 1.18) | 21.29% ( 0.11) | 19.26% ( -1.29) |
Both teams to score 56.11% ( -2.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.71% ( -2.43) | 41.29% ( 2.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.32% ( -2.52) | 63.68% ( 2.51) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.46% ( -0.44) | 13.54% ( 0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.39% ( -0.87) | 40.61% ( 0.87) |
Gateshead Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.89% ( -2.7) | 35.11% ( 2.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.14% ( -2.93) | 71.86% ( 2.93) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Gateshead |
2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.87) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.73) 3-1 @ 6.63% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.3) 4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.26% Total : 59.45% | 1-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.36) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.51) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.29% | 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.27) 0-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.27) 1-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.24) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.93% Total : 19.26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 35 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 29 | 13 | 16 | 34 |
3 | Barnet | 16 | 11 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 33 |
4 | Gateshead | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 33 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 30 |
6 | Rochdale | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
7 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
8 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 24 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 23 |
10 | Halifax TownHalifax | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 23 |
11 | Eastleigh | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
13 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 17 | 9 | 21 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 21 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 21 |
16 | Tamworth | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 21 |
17 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Woking | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 23 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 16 |
20 | Fylde | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 36 | -16 | 15 |
21 | Braintree TownBraintree | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 13 |
22 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 14 | 36 | -22 | 7 |
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