Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Halifax Town had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.61%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.64%), while for a Halifax Town win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.