Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Torquay United had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.66%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Torquay United win it was 0-1 (4.25%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
66.99% ( 1.52) | 19.24% ( -0.48) | 13.76% ( -1.03) |
Both teams to score 50.76% ( -1.13) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.71% ( -0.09) | 42.29% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.31% ( -0.09) | 64.69% ( 0.1) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.3% ( 0.39) | 11.69% ( -0.39) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.21% ( 0.82) | 36.79% ( -0.82) |
Torquay United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.48% ( -1.53) | 42.51% ( 1.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.12% ( -1.34) | 78.88% ( 1.34) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Torquay United |
2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.39) 1-0 @ 10.66% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.4) 3-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 4.39% ( 0.28) 4-1 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.15) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.63% Total : 66.97% | 1-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.21) Other @ 0.96% Total : 19.24% | 0-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 3.9% ( -0.26) 0-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.11) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.48% Total : 13.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 25 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 50 |
4 | Gateshead | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 49 | 32 | 17 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 36 |
9 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 36 |
10 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
11 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 35 |
12 | Eastleigh | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 2 | 35 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 25 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 25 |
19 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 23 | 36 | -13 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 19 | 62 | -43 | 10 |
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