Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Gateshead had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.41%) and 2-0 (5.97%). The likeliest Gateshead win was 1-2 (7.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Dorking Wanderers in this match.