Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 20.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.8%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Dover Athletic win it was 1-0 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.